1、中國那時候剛加入世貿組織不久，經濟處于高速增長期，相應的那個時間段的GDP，M1 M2 等經濟指標都處于高速增長的階段。
Objective analysis of the housing price rise after the 2003 epidemic, in many aspects:
1. Just after China's accession to the WTO at that time, its economy was in a period of high-speed growth, and its GDP, M1 m2 and other economic indicators were in a period of high-speed growth.
2. At that time in 2003, China's real estate market was just in its infancy. The whole real estate accounted for a small proportion in the economy, and there was a lot of room for growth.
3. After the outbreak of 2003, the government issued an economic stimulus plan, which directly promoted the small real estate at that time.
In contrast, the scope and depth of the impact of this epidemic is greater than that of SARS in 2003, and the impact on real estate is self-evident. The landlord mentioned the possibility of retaliatory increase after the epidemic, which I don't think is at all, but also analyzed in several aspects:
1. The curren real estate volume is far from comparable in 2003. The total real estate volume now accounts for a very high proportion of GDP. If it continues to rise, it will need massive monetary support. How can money come from?
2. In 2003, the leverage rate of residents was very low, and the deposit rate of residents was very high. Now, after two years of property market boom, people buy houses, which leads to high leverage rate of residents. The impact of this epidemic will lead to more lack of money for residents. Conclusion: people have no money.
3. In recent years, the rapid rise of the real estate market has resulted in a large number of residents being locked up at their disposal, and the leverage ratio of residents has increased significantly. In fact, the negative impact has already occurred. Because of the decrease of disposable income, residents have to pay for the monthly supply of banks, and the consumption capacity has decreased a lot, so the real economy has become more and more difficult in recent years. If the housing price continues to rise, more residents will be saved The result is that people are even more short of money, leading to a more depressed consumption and vicious circle. Now the entity has reached a critical juncture, baogenji? Or pushing house prices? This is not a multiple choice question.